25/10/2026
world as a padded room

Has the pursuit of absolute safety begun to undermine the resilience we need to survive an unpredictable world?

We have become rather good at making life safer, or at least at making it appear that way. There are warnings on the packaging, notices on the walls, disclaimers before the buttons, and enough health and safety guidance to keep a small army of administrators occupied until the next ice age. Somewhere along the way, an entirely reasonable desire to prevent unnecessary harm seems to have acquired a more ambitious objective: to remove uncertainty from the human experience altogether.

It is an understandable ambition. Nobody wants their child injured, their workplace made dangerous or their community exposed to avoidable harm. We have spent generations learning how to prevent accidents, improve medical care and protect people from exploitation, and much of that progress deserves to be celebrated. The difficulty begins when we stop asking whether a particular risk is worth taking and start assuming that the existence of risk is sufficient reason to prevent the activity altogether.

A child learning to ride a bicycle will probably fall off at some point. An adult attempting something unfamiliar may make a fool of themselves. A person expressing an unpopular opinion may discover that the world is less receptive than they imagined. None of these experiences is necessarily pleasant, but neither are they automatically disasters. They can be the means by which judgement develops, confidence acquires a proper foundation, and experience teaches lessons that no instruction manual can quite convey.

The question, then, is not whether we should make life safer. Of course we should. It is whether, in our determination to protect people from harm, we have begun to protect them from too much of the experience through which they learn to deal with harm in the first place.

Because one day, despite the regulations, the warnings, the carefully worded policies and the reassuring little green tick on the screen, something will go wrong. The electricity will fail, the supply chain will break, the institution will make a mistake, or the carefully designed system will encounter a situation its designers never anticipated. When that happens, resilience will matter more than the number of risk assessments completed.

The curious business of growing up

Most of us can remember learning something the hard way. Perhaps it was falling off a bicycle, discovering that a school bully could not always be reasoned with, getting something spectacularly wrong at work or finding out that the person who promised to help had, in fact, vanished into the undergrowth. Life has a habit of providing practical examinations for which nobody thought to issue a revision guide.

These experiences are not automatically character-building, and it would be foolish to suggest that every hardship makes us stronger. Some experiences leave lasting damage, and some difficulties are entirely unnecessary. There is nothing noble about preventable suffering simply because somebody endured it before the arrival of modern safeguarding policies. Nevertheless, there is a difference between protecting somebody from serious harm and attempting to protect them from every disappointment, embarrassment, failure or uncomfortable encounter they might experience along the way.

Children need protection. They also need opportunities to discover what they can do without somebody standing immediately behind them, ready to intervene at the first sign of uncertainty. Learning to cross a road, settle a disagreement, climb a tree, navigate an unfamiliar place or take responsibility for a mistake involves more than acquiring a particular skill. It involves learning to assess circumstances, recognise danger, make decisions and live with the consequences of those decisions.

These are not qualities that can be downloaded in adulthood like an overdue software update. They develop through practice, and practice inevitably involves the possibility of getting things wrong.

Consider the child who is never allowed to climb because climbing carries a risk of falling. The immediate danger has been reduced, certainly, but so has the opportunity to learn about balance, height, grip, confidence and personal limitations. A sensible adult might supervise, explain the dangers and intervene when necessary. An excessively fearful adult might simply prohibit the activity. Both may believe they are acting in the child’s interests, but their approaches produce very different opportunities for learning.

The distinction matters because competence is not the absence of danger. It is the ability to recognise and manage danger intelligently.

This is where our growing appetite for absolute safety becomes questionable. If every challenge is treated as a potential source of unacceptable harm, the natural response is to remove the challenge. That can produce an environment which appears wonderfully controlled, yet leaves the individual with fewer opportunities to develop the judgement needed when control is no longer available.

And control, as anyone who has spent enough time dealing with the real world will know, is frequently an illusion with excellent stationery.

When safety becomes the institution’s priority

The problem extends well beyond parenting. It becomes particularly interesting when we look at the institutions responsible for managing our collective lives, because institutional behaviour is not always guided by precisely the same incentives as individual behaviour.

A school wants its pupils to be safe, but it also wants to avoid complaints, investigations, legal claims and reputational damage. An employer wants to protect staff, but it must also manage costs and demonstrate compliance. A local authority has a duty to maintain public spaces, yet faces scrutiny whenever something goes wrong. These responsibilities are legitimate, and nobody should be surprised that organisations take them seriously.

However, a subtle shift can occur when the avoidance of blame becomes more important than the achievement of the original objective.

A decision that carries a small, manageable risk may be perfectly reasonable when judged on its merits. Yet if that decision goes wrong, the consequences for the person who approved it may be immediate and highly visible. The consequences of refusing to make the decision are often less obvious. The activity that never took place produces no accident report, the opportunity that was never offered generates no immediate complaint, and the skill that was never developed does not appear on a spreadsheet.

This creates an imbalance. The costs of action are visible, while the costs of inaction can remain hidden for years.

Imagine a school that cancels every activity involving an element of physical uncertainty. The pupils may enjoy a lower likelihood of certain accidents, but they also lose opportunities to test their abilities, negotiate challenges and develop independence. If the decision is questioned, the school can point to its commitment to safety. What is harder to quantify is the educational value of the experiences that have disappeared.

The same pattern can emerge in workplaces, public services and everyday administration. Procedures multiply, permissions become more complicated, and responsibility moves upwards through layers of management. Eventually, people who might once have exercised reasonable judgement find themselves reluctant to do anything without explicit authorisation.

The organisation becomes very good at demonstrating that it followed the correct process, even when the process itself has become an obstacle to achieving anything useful.

We have all encountered versions of this. A simple request requires three forms, two approvals and a meeting to establish why the first form has not yet been approved. The person dealing with the request may be perfectly competent, but the system has taught them that exercising initiative is potentially more dangerous than doing nothing.

It is tempting to blame individual cowardice, but that misses the wider point. People adapt to the incentives surrounding them. If a sensible decision that goes wrong attracts punishment, while an unhelpful decision that avoids liability attracts approval, the institution gradually selects for caution rather than judgement.

Over time, the capacity to act independently can atrophy. People become skilled at navigating the rules but less confident about dealing with circumstances the rules do not cover.

That is a serious problem in a world where circumstances have a habit of refusing to read the manual.

The difference between discomfort and danger

One of the more difficult areas of this debate concerns our changing relationship with emotional discomfort, particularly in education, public discussion and the way we respond to disagreement.

There are genuine harms that deserve to be taken seriously. Bullying, harassment, threats, sustained humiliation and deliberate intimidation can have profound consequences. It would be absurd to dismiss these experiences as harmless simply because earlier generations were sometimes expected to endure them in silence. Nor should we confuse the freedom to express an opinion with a licence to threaten or abuse another person.

But recognising genuine harm does not require us to treat every unpleasant experience as an injury.

Being contradicted can be uncomfortable. Discovering that an argument is poorly constructed can be embarrassing. Receiving criticism of work into which we have invested considerable effort can be dispiriting. Hearing an opinion that challenges our assumptions may leave us irritated for the rest of the afternoon. These are ordinary features of human interaction, not necessarily evidence that something unacceptable has occurred.

The ability to distinguish between discomfort and danger is itself a form of resilience.

A healthy educational environment should protect pupils from abuse while allowing them to encounter difficult questions, competing interpretations and the possibility that their own answers may be wrong. A healthy workplace should not tolerate intimidation, but neither should every piece of constructive criticism require the emotional handling arrangements normally associated with the disposal of hazardous materials.

Public debate presents an even more complicated example. A free society depends on the ability to examine claims, challenge authority and argue about matters on which reasonable people may disagree. Some speech can cause real harm, and legitimate boundaries exist around threats, harassment and incitement. Yet if the mere experience of offence becomes sufficient grounds for suppressing an argument, the distinction between protecting people and insulating ideas from criticism becomes dangerously blurred.

The trouble with insulation is that it works both ways. It may keep uncomfortable ideas out, but it can also prevent us from examining whether our own beliefs stand up to scrutiny.

There is a peculiar contradiction in claiming to prepare people for a complicated world while attempting to remove every opportunity for them to encounter disagreement in a controlled environment. Outside that environment, people will continue to disagree, behave unreasonably, misunderstand one another and occasionally be spectacularly unpleasant. The world has not signed up to the programme.

Resilience does not mean that we should become indifferent to other people’s suffering. It means developing the ability to respond proportionately, to distinguish a genuine threat from an unwelcome opinion, and to recover from experiences that challenge us without assuming that every challenge must be removed.

That is a more demanding ambition than simply trying to make everybody comfortable. It is also considerably more useful.

The technological comfort blanket

Technology has brought us extraordinary improvements in safety, convenience and access to information. Modern communications can save lives, navigation systems can help prevent accidents, and early-warning systems can provide precious time to prepare for dangerous weather. There is no sensible argument for rejecting these benefits merely because they make life easier.

The question is what happens when convenience gradually replaces competence rather than supporting it.

Many of us have become accustomed to relying on systems that perform tasks we once had to understand for ourselves. A navigation application tells us where to turn. A digital calendar remembers our appointments. Online banking removes the need to visit a branch, while cloud services store information that might once have occupied a filing cabinet. Artificial intelligence can now assist with writing, research, planning and decision-making.

Used intelligently, these tools extend our capabilities. Used uncritically, they can encourage us to surrender skills without considering what happens if the service disappears.

A navigation system is useful until the battery dies, the signal vanishes or the route becomes impassable. Digital banking is convenient until the service becomes unavailable at the moment we need it. A household can function beautifully with automated systems until a power cut reveals how many apparently separate activities depend on the same electrical supply.

None of this means that we should abandon technology and return to a life of handwritten ledgers, paper maps and communicating through the medium of shouting across a field. Progress is not the enemy. Dependency without a backup plan is the issue.

There is a difference between using a tool because it makes us more capable and depending on a tool because we have allowed our own capability to disappear.

I sometimes wonder how many people could confidently navigate an unfamiliar area without a phone, identify the practical essentials needed to manage a prolonged power cut, or work out what to do if an important digital service remained unavailable for several days. Many would manage perfectly well. Others might discover that the reassuring complexity of modern life conceals a surprising lack of practical alternatives.

We have become exceptionally good at optimising normal conditions. Much less attention is given to what happens when normal conditions cease to exist.

That is not an argument against convenience. It is an argument for retaining enough independent competence to survive its temporary absence.

The fragile machinery of modern life

This brings us to a larger question. Can a society become increasingly efficient while becoming less resilient?

Efficiency generally rewards the removal of waste, the reduction of duplication and the smooth coordination of interdependent systems. Those are worthwhile objectives. Businesses reduce inventory, utilities centralise operations, households rely on regular deliveries, and public services increasingly depend on interconnected digital infrastructure. Under ordinary conditions, the result can be cheaper, faster and more convenient than the arrangements it replaces.

But efficiency and resilience are not always the same thing.

A system designed around uninterrupted operation can become vulnerable when an essential component fails. A supply chain with little spare capacity may perform admirably until transport is disrupted. A community that relies on a small number of critical services may struggle when several fail together. A household that has never considered an extended interruption to electricity, water or communications may discover that its apparent self-sufficiency depends on a surprisingly long list of things working exactly as expected.

Recent history has repeatedly demonstrated that serious disruptions can cross borders, sectors and communities. The COVID-19 pandemic exposed vulnerabilities in supply chains and public preparedness. Extreme weather has disrupted transport, power and essential services in different parts of the world. Cyber incidents have shown how digital dependencies can interrupt operations far removed from the original target.

These events are not proof that modern society is inevitably becoming weaker. In many respects, advanced infrastructure and technology make us far more capable of responding to crises than our predecessors could have imagined. Modern medicine, forecasting, communications and international cooperation provide enormous advantages.

The more useful question is whether we have balanced those advantages with sufficient redundancy, practical knowledge and local capacity to cope when the systems fail.

Consider the difference between a household that has a modest reserve of drinking water, basic supplies, a way to prepare food during a power cut and some knowledge of its local community, and one that assumes everything will remain available because it usually is. Neither household can prevent a major disruption. The first, however, has preserved a degree of independence that may prove useful when normal services are interrupted.

Living with this possibility does not require a bunker, a collection of tactical equipment or a personality built entirely around anticipating the end of civilisation. In most circumstances, a little preparation and some common sense will do perfectly well. The objective is not to live in fear of catastrophe. It is to avoid being entirely helpless when an inconvenience lasts longer than expected.

Resilience exists at several levels. Individuals need practical skills and sound judgement. Families need the ability to adapt. Communities benefit from local relationships, shared knowledge and mutual assistance. Institutions need spare capacity, clear responsibilities and the confidence to act when circumstances depart from established procedures.

A society that invests only in efficiency may discover that it has saved money by removing precisely the capacity it needs in an emergency.

There is a lesson here for the pursuit of absolute safety. We cannot guarantee that nothing will go wrong. What we can do is develop systems, skills and relationships that make it easier to cope when it does.

When the safety net becomes a substitute for competence

There is another uncomfortable aspect to this discussion. As institutions become more responsible for managing risk, individuals may gradually come to expect them to manage risks that cannot realistically be eliminated.

We expect public authorities to warn us about dangerous weather, employers to provide safe working environments, manufacturers to ensure their products meet appropriate standards, and governments to maintain essential infrastructure. These expectations are entirely reasonable. Collective responsibility is one of the reasons modern societies can protect people from dangers that would be difficult or impossible to manage individually.

The difficulty arises when responsibility becomes confused with a guarantee.

No government can prevent every emergency. No employer can anticipate every eventuality. No regulatory framework can account for every combination of human behaviour, mechanical failure and unforeseen circumstance. Even excellent institutions operate with limited resources and incomplete information.

Yet the political and administrative pressure to promise safety can encourage the impression that any failure must have resulted from negligence, incompetence or a missing regulation. Sometimes that will be true. Investigations and accountability are essential when preventable failures occur. But sometimes an event exposes a genuine limitation in our ability to predict and control the world.

The response to every failure cannot simply be to add another layer of rules. More rules may be necessary, but they may also create complexity, divert resources or encourage people to focus on compliance rather than outcomes.

There is a point at which the search for perfect protection becomes counterproductive. We can spend so much time designing systems to prevent every conceivable failure that we neglect the equally important task of teaching people what to do when prevention fails.

A fire alarm is essential, but people must still know how to leave the building. A flood warning is valuable, but it is more useful when households understand where to go and what to take. A cybersecurity policy matters, but so does the ability to recognise an unfamiliar threat and respond sensibly when the written guidance does not quite fit the circumstances.

The same principle applies to personal responsibility. Asking for help is sensible. Expecting help to be available in every situation, immediately and without limitation, is a different proposition.

A resilient society does not abandon people to fend for themselves. Nor does it assume that institutions can remove every difficulty from their lives. It builds arrangements in which people can receive support when they need it while retaining the skills, confidence and responsibility to act when circumstances require them to do so.

The safety net should give people the confidence to live, not become a substitute for learning how to stand.

The uncomfortable truth about failure

One of the more damaging consequences of excessive risk avoidance may be the way it changes our attitude towards failure.

We often speak about learning from mistakes, but our behaviour does not always support the sentiment. In workplaces, schools and public institutions, a failure can carry consequences that encourage people to conceal uncertainty, avoid experimentation or pass difficult decisions to somebody else. In personal life, the pressure to appear competent can make admitting an error feel like a greater threat than repeating it.

Yet failure is one of the principal ways we discover the limitations of our knowledge.

An experiment that produces an unexpected result can reveal a mistaken assumption. A business that tries something new and gets it wrong may learn what its customers actually need. A person who attempts a difficult task and struggles may discover where additional knowledge or practice is required. None of this makes failure inherently desirable, but it does make the ability to respond constructively to failure essential.

The distinction is between a mistake that teaches us something and a mistake that causes avoidable harm without producing any useful learning. We should try to prevent the latter while making room for the former.

This is particularly important when the people making decisions have little experience of operating outside established procedures. If every initiative requires permission, every error invites punishment and every unfamiliar situation is escalated upwards, independent judgement becomes an increasingly scarce resource.

The resulting organisation may appear stable because nobody is willing to disturb it. But stability can conceal fragility. A system that functions only while circumstances remain familiar is not necessarily robust; it may simply have been fortunate.

Resilience requires the confidence to make decisions with incomplete information, the humility to recognise when those decisions are wrong, and the willingness to change course before a small problem becomes a large one.

It also requires a degree of psychological tolerance for uncertainty. We will not always know whether a decision is correct when we make it. We cannot eliminate every possibility of regret. Sometimes we must weigh competing risks and choose the course that seems most reasonable with the information available.

That is what judgement is for.

If we attempt to eliminate the possibility of making a mistake, we may eventually eliminate the willingness to make decisions at all. It is a remarkably effective way to avoid personal responsibility, although not necessarily a useful way to run a life.

Safety without suffocation

None of this should be mistaken for an argument that we ought to return to an age when preventable accidents were accepted as inevitable, children were expected to tolerate mistreatment, or workers were told that dangerous conditions were simply part of the job.

There is a reason safety standards exist. There is a reason safeguarding matters. There is a reason we regulate dangerous products, maintain public infrastructure and expect institutions to take their responsibilities seriously. The fact that a certain amount of risk is unavoidable does not mean that every risk is acceptable.

The challenge is to distinguish sensible protection from the attempt to eliminate risk without regard to the cost.

A sensible approach asks what the danger is, how likely it is to occur, how serious the consequences might be, and whether the proposed intervention will reduce the danger without creating disproportionate disadvantages elsewhere. It recognises that children need both protection and independence, that workplaces require both safety and initiative, and that public debate needs both reasonable boundaries and room for disagreement.

It also accepts that people differ. What is a manageable challenge for one person may be overwhelming for another. Some people require additional support to develop confidence or independence, and providing that support can be essential to genuine resilience. Treating everyone identically is not the same as giving everyone the opportunity to flourish.

The aim should not be to expose people to unnecessary hardship in the hope that adversity will somehow improve them. It should be to preserve opportunities for learning, responsibility and independent action while protecting people from dangers that are genuinely unacceptable.

That is a more nuanced objective than either extreme offers. It rejects the fantasy that we can engineer a world without risk, but it also rejects the romantic notion that people are automatically improved by suffering.

Resilience is not forged simply by making life difficult. It develops when people have the opportunity, support and freedom to meet challenges, learn from the experience and apply what they have learned to the next one.

A society that understands this should be capable of protecting its citizens without treating them as permanently incapable of managing their own affairs.

What happens when the world stops cooperating?

Perhaps the most useful way to examine our relationship with safety is to imagine an ordinary disruption rather than an apocalyptic one.

The electricity goes off for an extended period. A digital payment service becomes unavailable. A road is closed by flooding. Deliveries are delayed, communications become unreliable and an official announcement provides less clarity than anybody would like. The familiar systems are still there in principle, but for a while they cannot be relied upon to perform as expected.

What happens next?

Some people will adapt quickly. They will draw on practical knowledge, improvise where necessary, check on neighbours and make sensible decisions with the information available. Others may find the uncertainty considerably more difficult, particularly if they have little experience of managing without the services on which they normally depend.

The difference will not be explained entirely by age, education, wealth or intelligence. It will have something to do with experience, preparation, social connections and the confidence that comes from having dealt with difficulties before.

A person who has learned to solve modest problems may be better equipped to approach a larger one without immediately assuming that somebody else must take charge. A community whose members know one another may be able to share information and resources more effectively than one in which everybody depends exclusively on distant institutions.

These are ordinary advantages, but they can become important when circumstances deteriorate.

Living in rural Andalucía has made me particularly conscious of the relationship between convenience and independence. Rural life can be wonderfully straightforward in some respects, but it also reminds you that distance, weather, infrastructure and the availability of services matter. Things do not always happen when you would prefer them to, and the assumption that every requirement can be met immediately is not especially useful.

There is a certain value in learning to make do, repair something rather than immediately replace it, keep a sensible reserve of essentials and recognise when a problem requires improvisation rather than another search on the internet. None of these activities is glamorous. They do not require a lifestyle brand, an expensive course or a motivational quotation printed on a piece of wood. They are simply practical skills, acquired through experience and retained through use.

The broader lesson applies equally to people living in cities, towns and villages. Independence does not mean rejecting public services or refusing assistance. It means retaining enough capability to contribute to your own welfare and, where possible, to the welfare of others.

When systems work, that capability may barely be noticed. When they fail, it can make a considerable difference.

We cannot regulate uncertainty out of existence

There is something deeply human about wanting reassurance. We want to know that our children are safe, our savings are secure, our homes are protected and the institutions on which we depend are competent. We want to believe that somebody has anticipated the problem, prepared the response and placed the necessary safeguards in position.

Often, somebody has done precisely that, and we should be grateful. Preparation, regulation and professional expertise have made modern life safer in countless ways.

But reassurance can become a trap when it encourages us to believe that uncertainty itself is a problem that somebody else ought to eliminate.

No amount of regulation can guarantee that a child will never fall, that a business will never fail, that a public service will never make a mistake or that a technological system will never break. We can reduce risks, improve our understanding and prepare for foreseeable difficulties. We cannot abolish the unpredictable nature of life.

The attempt to do so can have consequences of its own. It can discourage initiative, make people fearful of ordinary challenges, reward institutional passivity and create unrealistic expectations about the extent to which any organisation can protect us from events beyond its control.

More importantly, it can distract us from the work that genuinely improves our ability to cope.

We can teach practical skills. We can encourage critical thinking. We can allow children to develop independence within sensible boundaries. We can build institutions that reward good judgement rather than mere compliance. We can maintain local relationships, retain backup arrangements and learn how to respond when familiar systems are unavailable.

We can also become more comfortable admitting that we do not know everything, that some decisions involve uncertainty and that mistakes are sometimes the price of attempting something worthwhile.

These are not arguments for recklessness. They are arguments for competence.

Perhaps the measure of a mature society is not how successfully it prevents its citizens from encountering every difficulty, but how effectively it equips them to deal with the difficulties that cannot be prevented.

After all, a world in which nothing ever goes wrong would be an extraordinary achievement. It would also be a world that does not exist.

The world was never a padded room, and no amount of bubble wrap is going to change that. We can make the sharp edges less dangerous, remove hazards that serve no useful purpose and protect people from harms they should never have to endure. What we cannot sensibly do is promise that the edges will disappear altogether.

The more important question is what we are teaching people while we try.

Are we helping them develop the judgement to recognise danger, the confidence to attempt difficult things, the humility to learn from mistakes and the practical ability to adapt when circumstances change? Or are we gradually encouraging them to wait for somebody else to certify that the world is safe enough to begin?

Because sooner or later, the world will have other ideas. And when it does, the people best equipped to cope may not be those who have spent their lives avoiding every possible risk, but those who have learned, with sensible safeguards and a little experience, that uncertainty is not always a reason to stop.

Sometimes it is simply the condition under which life takes place.

Until Next Time

Dominus Owen Markham


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